Blackjack Card Counting Guide

Author: Olivia Brown | Edited By: Joe Clark

Last Updated: December 16, 2024

How Does Card Counting Work?

Card counting, a technique popular in blackjack, functions by tracking the ratio of high to low-value cards remaining in the deck. This method is a potential strategy for optimizing your blackjack play.

In card counting, every card that’s dealt affects the composition of the remaining deck. Specifically, each card will either increase or decrease the casino’s edge to a marginal degree. This change in edge could form a critical aspect of your betting decisions.

Fundamentals of Card Counting

Primarily, card counting relies on tracking so-called “tags” assigned to each card value. These tags are typically divided into three categories based on the card’s respective value:

  1. High-value cards: (10s, face cards, and aces) usually bear a tag of -1.
  2. Neutral cards: (7, 8, 9) typically carry a tag of 0.
  3. Low card values: (2 through 6) conventionally possess a tag of +1.

By totaling these tags, you can formulate a “running count” that guides your betting decisions.

Effects on Betting Strategy

Card counting influences your betting strategy by providing information on the “true count.” This count, a division of the “running count” by the estimated number of remaining decks, provides direct input for your betting decisions.

When the true count turns positive, it signals more high-value cards in the remaining deck. In such situations, counters often escalate their bets as the increased high-value cards tilt the game marginally in the player’s favor. Conversely, when the true count is negative, the advantage lies with the house, prompting most counters to reduce their bets.

Limits of Card Counting

Card counting neither guarantees victory nor delivers a foolproof strategy for consistent winnings. Rather, it’s a probabilistic tool that, when paired with sound blackjack strategies, might edge the odds slightly in your favor.

Remember that card counting is not well-appreciated by casinos. Many adopt methods to prevent this practice, such as frequent deck shuffles or banning suspected counters.

How to Count Cards in Blackjack?

Step 1: Assess Card Value

Utilize your card-counting strategy by assigning a value to every card in the deck. Cards two through six get a value of +1, seven through nine hold a value of 0, while tens and face cards are marked -1.

Step 2: The Running Count

Maintain a “running count” of the cards as they are dealt. Add or subtract the value of each card you see based on the assigned values. For instance, an opening hand of five and eight gives you a running count of +1.

Step 3: Calculate the “True Count”

It is calculated by dividing the running count by the number of decks still unseen. For example, with a running count of +10 and five decks still unseen, your true count is +2.

Step 4: Take Advantage of the Count

A positive true count indicates an excess of high-value cards, which improves your odds. Incorporate a betting strategy with your count. When the true count rises, increase your bets. Conversely, scale back when the count turns negative, denoting a surplus of low-value cards.

Step 5: Change the Basics

While maintaining the count, certain situations may call for deviations from basic blackjack strategy. These instances, called ‘Index plays,’ can prove advantageous. For example, Standing on 16 when the dealer has an ace if the count is greater than +3.

Bonus Tip

Subtlety is your ally in card counting. Avoid drastic changes to your bet sizes or obvious shifts in strategy that might raise suspicion. Success in counting cards takes time, skill, and lots of practice. You can utilize free blackjack games or extra bonus funds to practice and build your skill.

Can You Count Cards With One Deck?

Absolutely! Single-deck card counting in Blackjack isn’t a myth; it’s a proven strategy. Card counting systems, regardless of the deck number, depend on the same principle: tracking high and low-value cards to influence betting decisions.

Understand Single-Deck Card Counting

When dealing with a single deck, you’re focusing on the same criterion: assigning tags to the different card values and keeping a running count. However, changes occur when calculating the true count. Remember, the true count holds significance in setting your bet size based on the makeup of the remaining deck.

Applying Single-Deck Card Counting

Here is a practical example. Consider a single deck game where values of +1, 0, and -1 are assigned to card groups. As you proceed through the deck, add or subtract based on the cards dealt.

Here’s a simple, step-by-step guide:

  1. Begin with a count of zero as the dealer deals with the first card.
  2. Add or subtract according to the value of the card.
  3. Adjust your bet size as high positive or negative counts appear—bet more with high positive, less with high negative.

The Advantage of Single-Deck Card Counting

The advantage here is with just one deck, your running count doubles as the true count. This simplicity allows faster calculations in real time, giving you a competitive edge.

Pitfalls of Single-Deck Card Counting

Casinos are aware of card counting and may take preventative measures. Act with caution; subtlety is your best tool. Abrupt or drastic changes in bet size can mark you as a counter—a tag you’d prefer to avoid.

Why Is Counting Cards Illegal?

Counting cards, though not officially illegal, often draws negative attention from casinos due to their capacity to reverse the house edge. A casino’s primary goal is to secure profit, and card counting threatens this goal.

It’s mandatory to clarify here: card counting isn’t illegal. In fact, courts around the world, as exemplified by the cases of Uston vs. Resorts International Casino in 1979, have repeatedly affirmed the legality of card counting. The argument pivots around casinos being a public accommodation and their inability to discriminate against skilled players.

However, card counting falls under the casino policies’ gray area and is seen as cheating by many establishments, leading to a card counter’s removal or banning from a casino if they are caught. Yet, it’s critical to understand the context here: it’s not “card counting” that leads to expulsion but behavior that reveals counting. Hence, subtlety while counting cards becomes paramount.

To enhance your blackjack card counting skills while avoiding suspicion, there are certain practices you must follow. 

  • Be subtle and avoid drastic changes in your betting patterns that might reveal your counting strategy. 
  • To continue enjoying your time at the table, try to blend in with the other players and stay under the radar. 
  • Play smart, count smart, and, most importantly, act smarter at the blackjack table to ensure you get the advantage without the negative repercussions.

How Long Does It Take to Learn to Count Cards?

Learning to count cards is not an overnight job. It depends on various factors, such as dedication, ability to interpret strategies, and diligence. Keep in mind that your learning is not set on a fixed timeline.

Factors Influencing Learning Speed

Several specific factors influence how quickly you learn card counting.

  1. Mathematical Skills: Card counting demands strong mathematical skills. It implies the ability to add, subtract, and divide numbers quickly and accurately, often while multitasking in a potentially distracting environment.
  2. Mental Agility: Mastering card counting requires keen mental agility, the capacity to concentrate, and the ability to multitask. 
  3. Gaming Experience: Familiarity with blackjack helps hasten the learning process. Understanding the structure of blackjack, its rules, and techniques gives you a head start in card counting.
  4. Study Schedule: The seriousness and consistency of your study schedule can affect the speed of your learning. A dedicated, consistent study plan allows room for significant and speedier progress.

Approximate Time to Master Card Counting

Taking these factors into account, expect an approximate timeline of six weeks to six months to learn card counting effectively. The variation is based on the different factors discussed earlier and the variety of card counting systems available, some of which are simpler to learn than others.

Assuming you study for an hour each day, 

  • Within the first two weeks, You should be able to grasp the basics of card counting. 
  • With another four weeks, You’ll generally become proficient at one of the simpler card-counting systems. 

Beyond that stage, enhancing speed and accuracy may require additional months of dedicated practice. Regular gaming experiences eventually lead to better strategy execution.

Can the Average Person Count Cards in Blackjack?

Yes, the average person can learn to count cards in blackjack, but it requires serious dedication. Training to count cards is an intense process, often requiring anywhere from 100 to 200 hours of practice at home before acquiring the necessary skills to outplay the casinos.

Is Blackjack Card Counting Profitable?

Profiting from card counting in blackjack requires patience, as the variance in the game is quite high. A profit could take hundreds of hours to materialize. Only 10%-35% of the time will the deck possess a sufficient positive count to warrant raising bets, depending on rules, deck penetration, and strategy.

Is Card Counting Better in Poker or Blackjack?

Card counting is more practical in blackjack than poker. In blackjack, keeping track of high- and low-value cards provides a statistical advantage against the house. On the other hand, poker is a game of skill and strategy played against other competitors—not the house, making card counting in poker less relevant.